Sunday, 15 October 2017

Focus on shifting Mindset not Manure - The Drift

Everything is drifting around Technology..... Don't be left behind.
How fast do things change when you hit the tipping point? In 1898 the world’s first international urban planning conference was held in New York to deal with the first major city crisis: “The Great Horse Manure Crisis”.

In New York City, the population of 100,000 horses produced 2.5 million pounds of horse manure per day. In London the problem was even worse, with the Times of London writing “In 50 years, every street in London will be buried under nine feet of manure.”

That same year, the first horseless automobiles began hitting the streets.

Within 50 years not only was there not nine feet of manure on the streets, but horses themselves had been banned.

What happened to horses is now happening to combustion engines.

Today Oxford announced it would be the first English city to ban all petrol and diesel vehicles from its “Zero-emission zone” city centre starting in 2020.

Today Paris also announced it is banning all vehicles that were not electric from the city by 2030.

France has said it would do the same for the entire country by 2040.

Britain will begin a country-wide ban from 2040 and will have all electric cars by 2050.

India has set a target of banning the sale of all petrol and electric vehicles by 2030.

And this week China has announced it will be setting a timeline to also move to zero-emission vehicles.

Austria, Denmark, Ireland, Japan, the Netherlands, Portugal, Korea and Spain have all set targets for increasing electric car sales, and Norway is leading the way with 40% of cars sold already electric or hybrid, and all cars and vans sold being zero-emission by 2025.

The next twenty years will see pollution and consumption of fossil fuels plummet, as a result of entrepreneurs and inventors coming up with smarter technology, and then progressive cities and governments following closely behind.

“We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.” ~ Albert Einstein


The moral of the story - In times of change, focus at shifting mindset, not shifting manure.

Sunday, 1 October 2017

THE STATE OF ICT IN NIGERIA, THE ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS AT OUR 57TH INDEPENDENCE

INRODUCTION

The speed with which Information Communication Technology (ICT) is developing and its impact on socio-economic activities cannot be overemphasized. It is imperative that Africa is not excluded from the technological revolution. It is a stark fact that the use of ICT has been integrated into virtually every facet of commerce, education, governance and civic activity in developed countries and has become a critical factor in creating wealth worldwide. Unfortunately in Africa, ICT has barely taken a foothold. Computer illiteracy and lack of access to ICT are widely recognised as an increasingly powerful obstacle to the economic, civic and political development of Africa. According to the UN ICT Task Force, nowhere is the digital divide more pronounced than in countries of the African continent. Africa is the most unconnected in an increasing connected world. This is where Nigeria as a country finds itself.

ICT, according to UNDP, has been defined to include the full range of electronic technologies and techniques used to manage information and knowledge. The scope of ICT covers any product that will store, retrieve, manipulate, transmit or receive information electronically in a digital form. For example, personal computers, digital television, email, robots, etc. So ICT is concerned with the storage, retrieval, manipulation, transmission or receipt of digital data. Importantly, it is also concerned with the way these different uses can work with each other.


The State of ICT in Nigeria

Ogunsola and Aboyade (2005) observe that Nigeria had a late start in the use of computers, but the growth in their use has been quite remarkable. The computer installations are widely distributed in universities, government departments and agencies, banks, commercial establishments, and industries. The private sector is also not left out in this information technological revolution. Nigerian university campuses too are now dotted with Information Communication technology facilities enabling lecturers and students to do their researches and other academic works using some form of available IT devices. They also noted that both the Federal Government of Nigeria and other international funding agencies are interested in the general development of ICT in higher education in Nigeria. The Federal Ministry of Education, for instance, has embarked on the establishment of the National Virtual (Digital) Library Project. Funding agencies like Carnegie Corporation of New York are also interested in the Nigerian ICT developmental programme. The Corporation supported the establishment of scientific databases at the University of Ibadan, Nigeria.

Partnerships like that between Google and University of Port Harcourt which aims at Connecting the University of Port Harcourt to the world’s information database to tap from best practices in Information and Communication Technology, as well as providing opportunities that would enable the Institution to be enlisted among 26 other active institutions in the six countries across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are among current strides made to bridge the ICT deficiency in the country especially in our schools.

Mobile cellular services made their first appearance on the Nigerian market in1993 with a “national” service operated by NITEL and a smaller Lagos service operated by Mobile Telecommunications Services (MTS). The two firms, with a joint subscriber base of 12,500, provided voice services over an analogue E-TACS network, as well as basic value-added services such as voicemail and paging, from three switches in Lagos, Enugu, and Abuja. However, in 1995, MTS closed its operations due to failure to pay interconnection charges to NITEL. M-Tel subsequently emerged as NITEL’s mobile service provider. The GSM licensing process was cancelled early in 2000 and the process of auctioning four mobile cellular licences was reopened in December of that year, after soliciting credible bidders. The winners who emerged out of this process and settled the agreed licence fees included Econet Wireless Nigeria, Mobile Telephone Networks (MTN) and Communications Nigeria. The new GSM licences were awarded for a period of five years (renewable) and all operators can operate in the 900 Mhz and1800Mhz spectrum bands. Whereas they do provide for a potential upgrading of future networks to GPRS (general packet radio switching), they do not encompass third generation (3G) networks, which will probably be auctioned off sometime in the future. The operators do not foresee a 3G mobile network being developed in Nigeria until the latter half of the current decade (this has, however, happened). Nigeria’s digital mobile network has grown significantly since the three companies, awarded the Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM) licence in January 2001, began operating in August 2001. According to the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) the GSM network achieved 350,000 connections within six months of their launch (Telecommunication in Nigeria Overview)  

By August 7, 2008, seven years since the introduction of GSM in Nigeria, the country has witnessed an unprecedented massive development of telecom infrastructure across the country by the operators. Indeed, the rate of investment in the telecom sector since 1999 is regarded only second to the oil industry. With over 45 million subscriber base, Nigeria's telecommunication industry is regarded as the fastest growing in the world. This has opened up huge business opportunities in the telecom industry. The GSM has also revolutionalized our business environment as people can transact their businesses from the comfort of their homes through the use of GSM facilities. At the same time social relationships have been enhanced. GSM has also empowered the people economically through creation of mass employment. Today, so many unemployed people are earning their living through direct and indirect services provided by telecommunication companies like, selling recharge cards and GSM accessories. GSM has equally become a major source of revenue for the government.

The NCC has continued to introduce necessary measures to enhance the quality of service delivery and steady growth of the industry. The measures include the introduction of unified licensing, which made it possible for fixed wireless operators to offer GSM service. Equally significant is the granting of G3 licenses to some operators. The G3, as it is popularly called, is the most advanced technology on GSM, which enables the operators to offer both data and voice services (Udutchay, 2008).

For Nigeria to truly celebrate the October 2017 independence, ICT must be called to the party as it is an engine for sustainable development in health, education, agriculture, poverty reduction, wealth creation, employment, security, youth empowerment and other key sectors. Awe’s assessment of the state of the ICT in the country includes the following, among others:
  1.  Telecom availability has improved and Nigeria is one of the world’s fastest growing mobile markets. But the cold, hard facts are that communications quality is low and ICT penetration is still insufficient considering Nigeria’s size and population.
  2. It’s important to note that important variations in the nature of access determine telecom impact, for instance, broadband density is particularly low as there is a great gulf between broadband and voice telephony penetration. Nigeria must move beyond voice telephony.
  3. Furthermore, cost is (still) a barrier. Lack of awareness and access excludes many from the digital environment. In a country where poverty still walks the streets, ICT remains a stranger. Computing and telecom resources are unaffordable to the majority.
  4. Software is at the heart of the global knowledge economy. Any nation that values its sovereignty must take software serious. Software opportunities in Nigeria are not being fully exploited to unleash the potentials of the Nigerian people and the Nigerian nation. Local developers however face challenges of ignorance and patronage. Existing software promotion policies have not made much impact. Bureaucratic sloganeering will not get us anywhere.
  5. Information security is an area of concern. Cybercrime, hacking, phishing, ATM fraud and general identity theft are on the increase. Security of information assets is critical to building confidence in today’s networked world. Having secure information environments helps in attracting more investment in ICT.

From this assessment one could see that there are many problems that that need to be addressed in order improve the state of ICT in Nigeria and subsequently enable Nigerians to reap more benefits offered by the ICT, and to enable them compete favourably with citizens of other nations in economic spheres and other fields of human endeavour.

Nigeria in the Networked Readiness Index (NRI)

Networked Readiness Index (NRI) being published annually by the World Economic Forum measures the propensity for countries to exploit the opportunities provided by ICT. The NRI is a composite of three components: the environment for ICT offered by a given country or community, the readiness of the community’s key stakeholders (individuals, businesses, and governments) to use ICT, and finally the usage of ICT amongst these stakeholders. The index was originally developed by the Information Technology Group, which worked at Harvard University's Center for International Development until 2002. The table below shows the ranking of Nigeria among 148 and 143 countries that were included in the 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 of the index respectively.

COUNTRY
2014 – 2015 RANKING OUT OF 148 COUNTRIES
2015 – 2016 RANKING OUT OF 143 COUNTRIES
USA
7
7
Denmark
13
15
Singapore
2
1
Ghana
96
101
Malaysia
30
32
Nigeria
112
119
South Africa
70
75
Zambia
110
114
Saudi Arabia
32
35
Uganda
115
116
Chad
148
143
UK
9
8
Finland
1
2
Sources: extracts from The Global Information Technology Report 2014 – 2015 from  Global IT Report 2016 and Global IT Report 2015 

The table indicates the low positions occupied by Nigeria in 20014-2015 and 2015-2016, which were very low when we consider its abundant material and human resources.
Also, comparing these results with those for 2008 and 2009 which were 90 and 99 respectively one will notice a steep decline making me wonder; are we progressing as a nation or retrogressing? Why should a population as huge as ours, youthful with many possibilities be in such positions? We certainly must not be doing something right. This independence gives us an opportunity to reevaluate our stance on ICT if we must be global players.


Some Studies on the Impact of ICT on the Economies of Nations

In a study by Sherif, Rateb and El-Tawil (n d) on the impact of ICT investments on economic development in Egypt, it has been shown, among others, that the ICT sector in the country, which is considered a catalyst for economic development, is based on a multi-stakeholder approach comprising multinationals, the private sector and the civil society. Their massive investments in the telecom sector for example, led to a unique growth rate globally in the rate of mobile user penetration that exceeds 50% (Kamel, 2007 in Sherif, Rateb and El-Tawil). Moreover, the investment in ICT had also helped in modernizing the Egypt National Postal Organization (NPO), which was able to modernize and diversify its activities that include providing societal services, eGovernment services and financial services. Moreover, the contribution of the telecom sector has been remarkable to exceeding 4.35 billion US dollars during the period 2006-2007 (Kamel, 2007 in Sherif, Rateb and El-Tawil, nd).
Piatkowski (2003 in Bongo, nd) also indicates that in Poland, ICT investment contributed on average 0.47 of a percentage point or 8.9% of GDP growth and12.7% or 0.65 of a percentage point contribution to labor productivity between1995-2000. During the second half of the 1990s the US and also some EU Member States (notably Ireland, the Netherlands, and Finland) as well as some other OECD countries (e.g.US, Australia and Canada), recorded a resurgence of economic growth and of productivity, fixed or declining inflation and diminishing unemployment through the use of ICT (Commission of European Community 2001 cited in Bongo, nd). Bongo (nd) further adds that some study results

clearly demonstrate that when the contribution of ICT is greater, so is the real output growth. For example in the UK, between 1990 and1995 when the contribution of ICT accounted for 0.43 of a percentage point of economic growth the Real Output Growth for that period was 2.12, whereas between 1995 and 1999, when the contribution of ICT was 0.47, the Real Output Growth that occurred during that period was 3.48. As a result, we could say that ICT drives the economy and also effective ICT investments do have a positive impact on the economy.

It is worth noting that the use of ICT can also have negative consequences on the economies of nations, for instance, it can lead to labour displacement, especially of the unskilled (see The Distortion).


Implications Drawn for the Nigerian Economy

In a "knowledge driven economy" (KDE) such as we are now in; one in which economies depend predominantly on the generation and the exploitation of knowledge for wealth creation, it is expected that we make more effective use of all types of knowledge and creativity in all manner of economic activity.

Most of Nigeria’s wealth and power is from the control of physical assets - land, oil, iron and steel, coal. When, in fact, major economies around the world are beginning to run on the control of soft assets like data which is majorly a product of human and intellectual capital. As Nigeria lags behind in the use of ICT, its performance in relation to the knowledge based economy will also remain low.

ICTs are expanding the possibilities of developing economies to participate in international markets. The Internet, for instance, had changed the way goods and services are produced, delivered, sold and purchased. ICT has led to an ever growing number of people and businesses connected digitally. Most Nigerians could not participate in the International markets from the comfort of their offices and rooms due to erratic supply of electricity, dearth of adequate ICT facilities and the enabling environment that supports e-business. Low participation in international market means low transactions and contribution to the global economy.

The use of ICT empowers weak players in an economy by providing them with information, communication and knowledge they could not access before. ICT enhances the competitiveness of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) they can establish their presence on the Internet and use it to communicate with suppliers and customers, to search for business information and to advertise their products. Unfortunately, SMEs in Nigeria do not enjoy this in a substantial way due to the low state of the ICT of the country, so their success and contribution to the economy could also remain low.

Even though the use of ICT robs unskilled workers of their jobs; it increases the efficiency with which economic activities are undertaken, the use of digital technology in printing (talk of the 3D printings of these days), radio and TV broadcast, photography, for example, increases productivity, so a country that is not very fast in adopting these technologies will not have a fast growing economy.


Conclusion

The current state of ICT in Nigeria has positive and negative implications for the Nigerian economy. The increase in number of businesses and job opportunities offered by the ICT in the country, which is quite enormous, is part of the positive implications. However, the emphasis on the negative implications is due largely to the performance of Nigeria in the use of the ICT which leaves much to be desired and probably needs a jab to kick-start it.
Finally, much as the economic implications stated above is not an exhaustive one; as more implications will crop up with the introduction of more ICT-related innovations and new ICT devices into the global arena and Nigerian market, may I state again, categorically, that stake holders use this auspicious event of the celebration of our 57th year of independence to do a proper stocktaking as to where we are coming from, where we ought to be now and where we should be in a future date. We need to reevaluate our priorities as a nation and do the needful to move the nation from this doldrums.


HAPPY 57TH INDEPENDENCE DAY CELEBRATION!!

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